I am not a certified analyst. The charts shown and the content in the blog are for educational purpose only and in no way is a buy or sell recommendation. Readers are advised to use discretion.

Friday 31 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 31.01.2014

Intraday: Totally Ranging market. Too many levels, so removed BRN line. Took a single trade-
1) A Short on the Tag on UBB with Reverse Hammer in ranging market. 12 pts.

Thursday 30 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 30.01.2014

Positional: Positional shorts activated below weekly pivot.
Intraday: Expiry day - for me, A Day to relax. Only watched the market today. I found 1 opportunity, which didn't take. A BOF of day's open with small hammer/ inside candle gave a clue to go down. Another hammer before mid BB with a follow up candle was my signal.

Wednesday 29 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 29.01.2014

Intraday: Mkt was slow all the day drifting downward except in the last. Looking now, it seems Mkt was simple today- Short on mid BB. Took a single Trade.
1) Short on the BOF & 2nd close below mid BB in ranging BB. Spent a lot time for just 14 pts.
No reliable signal & mkt moved too fast in 2nd half so remained out of last move.

Tuesday 28 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 28.01.2014

Intraday: No Trades...
Mkt Open & zoomed to BRN 6200. Stopped there till 11AM when RBI announcement came & mkt moved down to 6125 around. Was out till 12, then started finding any opportunity. No reliable signal found. One Signal arrived marked with Pink Arrow - Shooting Star on mid BB. Didn't take it.

Monday 27 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 27.01.2014

Intraday: Mkt gap down & i started looking for shorts at UBB or at higher level
1) Took a Short, when Price close below LBB with break of Day's Open. Gave my SL.
2) Again a Short on a small Hammer on UBB. Mid BB almost flat to +ve. It was a risky trade. Near miss to my Sl & gave 20 pts. Closed at 6200, but mkt kept moving down till the end.

Friday 24 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 24.01.2014

Intraday: Mkt was expected to Gap down with global clues. The 1st candle shows a good positive sign to recover the gap, but within few minutes, mkt lost its momentum & started towards South. I was waiting for it to enter..
1) Short on the break of Day's low with momentum. Booked on the same candle, which broke 6300.
2) Another short on a Hammer on UBB in a range. Price broke today's low, but with no fast momentum. I was expecting till 6250, but Closed this with 20 pts.

Thursday 23 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 23.01.2014

Intraday: Mkt was moving in 20 pt range from the morning. Like 21.01.2014, it touched 3rd time to same DP. I was waiting for candle close, whether to go short or Long.
1) Long on the break of high of candle closed above DP & UBB. Waited with mid BB showing Bullish bias, but stopped out in TRAP pattern at mid BB & market moved without me.


Wednesday 22 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 22.01.2014

Intraday: Took a single trade today as I was out for some other work in the 2nd half.
1) Long on BOF of LBB & Range low, when BB was ranging. Closed with 15 pts
2) Was a probable long on the retouch of LBB, marked in Pink.

Tuesday 21 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 21.01.2014

Intraday: My bias was Bearish as Normal traders were all long. Mkt didn't go below PDC & i thought of going long in the ranging market. It was looking like yesterday mkt..
1) Long on the PullBack to PDH. Thought it will go up, but came out on the hammer on UBB. A bad trade with today's open just above it.
2) Short below the Hammer on UBB & today's Open. Didn't go as expected. Gave my SL. A strong candle to cross today's high, but no follow up.
3) Again a short on UBB with Inside candle- A third one in Ranging Market. Was planning to come out above hammer on LBB, so put my SL over there. Mkt didn't trigger my SL & moved to give few more points. 
Ended the day here as no good signal to go Long.

Monday 20 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 20.01.2014

Intraday: Traded very bad today. All the good trades left & bad ones taken..
1) Left 1st trade- Long on the 2nd hammer on LBB & DP as some more DP's were just above it. A Bad choice. Just kept watching the entire move to stop somewhere
2) Short on the BOF of BRN 6300 with mid BB trending down. ended with my SL.
3) Thought that a range is formed. Watched a Master candle having few Inside candles on BRN. Entered long on its break. Closed at the hammer on UBB as it was a short signal.
No Further trade.. as no reliable signal found & the move was too fast for me to enter..

Friday 17 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 17.01.2014

Intraday: A Day started bad & ended good..
1) Long on the Breakout of today's range with close above BB. This trade took my SL. Started thinking that market will grind like yesterday, so planned to take less points & at the touch of DP.
2) Short on the breakout of Today's open. Closed at the touch of PDL. I was planning to go long on the second touch of day's low, but saved due ti my Internet problem, else i would have taken a long & SL would have hit with delay in my next position.
3) Short on the Shooting star on UBB with touch on BRN 6300. A good setup which gave instant reward. Closed when price doesn't breach Previous Swing Low.

Thursday 16 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 16.01.2014

Intraday: A very tough day for me. Market wasn't moving fast & I was expecting. Whenever, i was getting signals for Longs, there were some short signals & vice versa. It was a slow market fighting to save PDC.
1) Short on the break of PDC with Close below LBB. Gave SL
2) A good shorting opportunity with a Tag on falling UBB & a hammer on PDC. Closed with 15 pts
3) Long on the BOF of day's low, when mid BB turned flat to positive. Closed at reverse hammer on PDH.

Wednesday 15 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 15.01.2014

Intraday: Took only single trade today-
1) Long on the 1st Pullback with Doji, when mid BB was Up. Closed with 20 pts
2) Marked gave a sharp fall at WPI data, then There was another probable trade marked with Pink arrow- A Doji with gap up above mid BB. didn't take it..

Tuesday 14 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 14.01.2014

Positional: Mkt is giving good signals on weekly charts for a Positional Short. Though I don't take positions for weeks & only swing trade for few days, but this one seems Interesting..
1) A Close above UBB, then a Tag & finally an FTC of UBB showing trend has got weak. BB arre converging suggesting low volatility, which will attract high volatility (sharp move). Bottoms are sharp as per previous experience, so planning to take profit at LBB/ any good Support.
2) RSI is showing Bearish Divergence. People will short & take positions for months.
3) Break below Major Swing with Flat mid BB will be a signal to Short..
4) SL will be high of FTC i.e. current candle, so R:R is also fine.
Lets see & wait for right entry-

Intraday: Today took too many trades..
1) Long on the BOF on Initial Range Low with mid BB in uptrend. Mkt took my SL
2) Short on the Break of same Range Low & Close below LBB. Took 10 pts
3) Again a Short on Pullback on Range Low & a Tag on Flat UBB with Reverse Hammer. Again quick 10 pts
4) A Short on the break of Previous Swing Low after Pullback with a Close. mid BB was also favouring, but i has a little dubious because this was 3rd push to the downside. Gave my SL
5) The last Short of the Day as a BOF of same Range low with 10 pts which saved my day. Clsoed after Hammer at Day's Low/ previous swing..
Close for the day !!

Too much write up for today !! ;)

Monday 13 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 13.01.2014

Intraday: My Bad Day..  Left 2 Big moves. Didn't find any reliable signal in the morning. Then Planned to Sell Short at yesterday's high. BB not favorable there.
1) Took one Long at the BOF of Range low & FTC at LBB. Trailed the SL tightly as mkt wasn't going anywhere. Stopped out at pink arrow. watched the last move moving without me.

Friday 10 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 10.01.2014

Intraday:  What a day to trade !! Market gave 2 beautiful trades.. But yes when a Day's 1st half is Bullish & 2nd one is Bearish, means Longs & Bottom Pickers are gaged today !!
1) Took a Long on the Hammer on DP near to LBB, while BB was ranging. Tgt was just day's high/ BRN. trade went well, but I closed at 50 pts.
2) A range after 2nd hammer on UBB made me think about Shorts. but market moved up & gave a beautiful BOF on hourly DP/ Day's High. Short after that candle. Move was too fast & I was fearing. Closed 5 Lots at 6200 & next 5 with another 5 pts.


Thursday 9 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 09.01.2014

Positional: No good sign of longs till yet. It is not able to cross 6200..
Intraday: Market didn't give good momentum candles in the morning. All were showing profit booking. A Hammer alerted for trend over, but no longs. Market consolidated & gave the Opportunity.
1) Short on Shooting star on UBB in ranging BB. Got 10 pts here.
2) Long on the BOF of day's low after a Tag on LBB. Trailed the SL & got 10 pts

Wednesday 8 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 08.01.2014

Positional: A proper consolidation for an upmove. RSI is giving a Bullish divergence, but still waiting signals from BB.
Intraday: Today wasn't my Day. Market made a range around 6200.
1) Short on the break of BRN 6200. SL hit
2) Just watched a Short trade on the Range high as BOF. Wasn't finding any reliable signal.
so, Clsoed the day 2 hrs before so missed last 15 pt upmove

Tuesday 7 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 07.01.2014

Intraday: Market moved upwards. I was waiting for right opportunity. It cam back & i was willing to go short below the Doji marked with Pink arrow. It just jumped leaving me out. Just watched letting it drop to the end. Took a break for 2 hrs..
1) Long on the Hammer on LBB & a small BOF. Mid BB was also favourable. Closed with 30 pts. No further trade.

Monday 6 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 06.01.2014

Intraday: Nifty Traded in Initial rang for first few hours. I was waiting for a BOF to go Short or Long. Mkt gave an opportunity at 1 PM.
1) Entered Short below mid BB with a Tgt of Today's low. Closed, when market formed a range below today's low.
2) Market was giving a good Long signal. A close below BB followed by FTC. I was planning to go long.  Although, It gave a BOF afterwards but a Tag on LBB after FTC gave a doubt about the move.I was left out for the entire fast move.

Sunday 5 January 2014

Which Trading Method to Follow !!

Different Traders follow so many different methods, which are followed by different traders-

1) Support & Resistance
2) Elliot Waves
3) Moving Averages
4) Open Interest & Volume
5) Overbought & Oversold Indicators
6) Other Indicators crossovers or any Technical Analysis study
7) Fundamental Analysis

So many people follow them & loose their hard earned money. Less than 5% of the traders are successful & they keep on searching & trying new systems.

No System is Wrong or Right ! One should pick a method that suits to his style of trading. Its not a hard & fast rule to use only a particular method. Inputs from different methods can also be used simultaneously, but the objective should remain intact - To make money, not to justify the used method or trades done.

Nobody can follow anyone fully. Everybody can copy a trading style, but the Thinking & Emotions of everyone is different at the time of trading. It all depends on Lot Size, Experience, Previous good & bad experience with that system, Motivating or de-motivating family & friends, Trading alone or in a group, Distractions of previous holdings...

So, Choose a good method & stick to it. Trade it with respect to the Context of the Market. Work on yourself & keep analysing what works for you & what not. Add the working ones, Subtract the Non Value added ones.

Always Remember-

Not the Car, but The Driver wins the RACE !!

Friday 3 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 03.01.2014

Positional: Booked All shorts today at 6235 when Mkt refused to go below 6200 & ahead was weekend, so wasn't good to hold positions.
Intraday: Market gap down & my bias was bearish. Avoided 1st BOF marked with Pink arrow because mid BB was showing Uptrend. Took below trades-
1) Short on the Top of range as BOF on UBB. Got few points
2) Again a Short on BOF on UBB & Range high. Stopped out & market kept moving higher & higher. Didn't find any suitable Long signal.
Overall a No Loss day for Intraday trades.



Thursday 2 January 2014

Intraday Trades - 02.01.2014

Positional: Short took as Intraday but left 50% as positional with close near 6255. SL = 6300. I am expecting a gap down tomorrow.
Intraday: No Volatility Yesterday & too much today!!. Missed the initial move as was too fast. But when price stopped moving above 6400, thought that the Longs are trapped beautifully & started looking for shorts.
1) Short on Failure to Continue above 6400 & break of range low. Keep trailing the SL till the end of the day. Was willing to close at around 40 pts profit, but market moved too fast & didn't allow me. Putting my SL orders at 40 pt profit, waited till end. Closed 50% position & took other 50% as positional

Wednesday 1 January 2014

Bollinger Bands (BB) - Rule 4

Judging the Price with its approach towards BB

95% of all traders never go beyond their first trial with BB & never discover the true power that BB has to offer.

Funny thing about BB is that the reversal and the continuation set-ups are identical. In my opinion this is what frustrates most traders and this is why they never make it with BB. They have a hard time with the fact that they misread whether a continuation or reversal set-up is forming and they more often than not get on the wrong side of the trade.

Now, after going through the last 3 rules, go for this one.. With this we can decide, whether to sit in any trade for more Profits or get out with BB as exit !!

Observe how the bands react to Approaching Price Action.. The key to your falling in love with BB is careful observation of how the bands react to approaching price action. "Both bands" not just the one being approached..
We'll use Bullish reversal's and continuations for this example in the Nifty Daily Chart and the opposite is true for bearish reversals or continuations. The points are marked by numbers in Picture. Ready by looking at the graph for better understanding-

1.) Price approaches the UBB and the UBB goes up and the LBB is flat or moving up slightly. Continuation - Price will likely continue up slowly for a time.
2.) Price approaches the UBB and the UBB goes up and the LBB goes down. Continuation - Price will likely move up fast and furious. This is the best continuation pattern for the bands. This is a rapid expansion of volatility. You will experience "fake out's" sometimes but most of the time this set-up will produce some good profits when executed properly.
3.) Price approaches the UBB and the UBB and LBB remains flat. Reversal - Likely a sharp reversal to the lower band. Because both bands are flat this will likely be short lived.
4.) Price approaches the UBB and the UBB and LBB both go down. - Reversal - This is likely to result in a reversal but keep in mind price will likely only make it to the mean, the 20 MA with both bands heading down like this. This is a rare occurrence and is typical of a bigger market swing. A transition from Bullish to Bearish conditions.


Now, pull up 10 ~ 20 charts and spend some time observing how the bands react to approaching price action. My guess is when your done you'll likely take BB out on her long overdue second date..  which can change your trading..

Intraday Trades - 01.01.2014

Intraday: 1st Day of the year gone with NO TRADE as my charts were not working today.. Was saved as market was ranging in few points only.

Tomorrow Onwards, will use Sharekhan's Trade Tiger Charts (New Account) to get rid of this difficulty..